Strategic Contract·2026-06-15

Nable secures 2.4B KRW 5G network contract

NAB

네이블

153460

+0.65

Financial Impact

POSITIVE

Historical Market Reaction

Based on n=751 similar Strategic Contract events

Historically strongest in Large Cap stocks during Bull Market conditions.

Large-cap favorableBull market biasAvoid high volatility

Grade C

How we grade signals

Score = risk-adjusted return (median 5D ÷ volatility, Sharpe-style), scaled by sample confidence (n/300, max 40% boost).

A ≥ 75Strong positive signalB 60–74Moderate positive signalC 45–59Neutral / inconclusiveD 30–44Weak or mixed signalF < 30Negative signal

Grade reflects risk-adjusted consistency, not absolute return size. A lower-return but stable event type may outgrade a high-variance one.

Hit Rate

5D Hit Rate

51.7%

stocks positive after 5 days

20D Hit Rate

53.4%

stocks positive after 20 days

Alpha vs Benchmark

(KOSPI / KOSDAQ)

Alpha 5D

-1.1%

trimmed avg vs index

Alpha 20D

+2.2%

median -1.0%

Trimmed alpha excludes extreme outlier events (top/bottom 5%) to better represent typical market behavior.

20D Return Distribution

Beats market (α > 0)47.5%

Return > +5%44.3%

Return < −10%17.7%

Range (worst / best)-35.7% / +305.6%

Avg entry return (next-open → 5D close)+0.8%

By Market Cap

Large Cap

> ₩1T mktcap

Hit Rate

51.8%/ 52.7%

5D / 20D

Alpha 20D

+7.5%

trimmed avg

n=139

Mid Cap

₩100B–₩1T

Hit Rate

57.3%/ 73.7%

5D / 20D

Alpha 20D

+3.7%

trimmed avg

n=82

Small Cap

< ₩100B mktcap

Hit Rate

50.8%/ 50.0%

5D / 20D

Alpha 20D

+1.1%

trimmed avg

n=506

Market cap buckets: Large > ₩1T · Mid ₩100B–₩1T · Small < ₩100B (at time of filing). Min. 30 events per bucket shown.

By Market Regime

(KOSPI 20D prior trend)

Bull Market

KOSPI 20D > +5%

Hit Rate

50.5%/ 54.6%

5D / 20D

Alpha 20D

+4.5%

trimmed avg

n=598

Neutral

KOSPI 20D ±5%

Hit Rate

56.9%/ 50.0%

5D / 20D

Alpha 20D

-3.1%

trimmed avg

n=123

By Volatility Regime

(KOSPI 20D rolling std)

High Vol

KOSPI 20D std > 1.2%

Hit Rate

47.0%/ 45.5%

5D / 20D

Alpha 20D

+0.1%

trimmed avg

n=570

Normal Vol

0.6%–1.2%

Hit Rate

68.8%/ 68.9%

5D / 20D

Alpha 20D

+7.4%

trimmed avg

n=157

Avg max drawdown-12.0%

Based on DART filings since Jan 2025. Past market reactions do not guarantee future results.

Signal grade: risk-adjusted return (median 5D ÷ vol, Sharpe-style) × sample confidence — A≥75 / B≥60 / C≥45 / D≥30. Click the grade badge for details.

AI Summary

Key Numbers

Risk Factors

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AI-processed analysis. Based on: Decision on Single Sales and Supply Contract. Source: Financial Supervisory Service (금융감독원 전자공시시스템). Raw government data is not redistributed. Not investment advice.

Signal Strength

78Strong Bullish

WeakStrong

AI Score: +0.65·Impact: HIGH